دراسة اقتصادية قياسية لاثر الانفاق الحكومى على النمو فى القطاع الزراعى

Egypt's agricultural sector is fundamental to its national economy, providing
essential food and industrial inputs and significantly contributing to GDP. This research
investigated the impact of various government expenditure aspects on agricultural sector
growth, measured by agricultural value added, and explored the interconnectedness
between spending and growth.
Methodologically, the study employed descriptive statistics and econometric
analysis, including the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test, the Bounds
Testing Approach to Cointegration, and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)
model.
Results indicated a positive impact of overall government expenditure, agricultural
loans, and agricultural scientific research on agricultural value added. Spending on
agricultural scientific research, particularly with one and two lag periods, showed a
statistically significant positive effect. Conversely, agricultural investments exhibited a
counter-intuitive negative impact on value added, though this finding was not statistically
significant and deviated from economic theory